Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Good News for the Death of Carbon Sequestration Jeff Johnson has a nice article in the July 16 issue of Chemical & Engineering News entitled, "Stumbling on the Path to Clean Coal". The subtitle is, "Carbon Capture and Sequestration appears stuck, dashing hopes of cutting CO2 while burning coal". The dictionary has only two definitions for "sequestration". The legal definition is the seizure of property. The chemical definition is the limitation or prevention of normal ion behavior by combination with added materials. However, a new definition has developed, which is the process of removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Note that these definitions are different from the "sequestration" denoting mandatory cuts in government expenditures on January 1. We should also look at recent use of the term "clean coal". Previously, clean coal had a meaning of form of relatively pure carbon. That is, it had little or no contamination from sulfur or mercury. When the term is now applied to coal, meaning no carbon dioxide emission on burning, it is obviously an unrealistic interpretation of the English language. There is no carbon dioxide in coal, and therefore coal cannot be significantly contaminated by carbon dioxide. In spite of these difficulties with language, the total article gives good news. While the House of Representatives cleared legislation to require carbon dioxide reductions to the atmosphere and a Cap & Trade program in 2009, a price on carbon dioxide emissions expired the next year. Jeff says that today Congress members have no intention of putting a price on carbon emissions and many even challenge the scientific basis of climate change. That is wonderful news, because there is absolutely no basis that carbon dioxide emissions to the atmosphere cause any damage to the environment, and any attempts at major control would be horrendous. Unfortunately, the Department of Energy does not give up easily, even when it's wrong. It has provided $6.9 billion for R&D funding on carbon sequestration since 2005, and half of that has come from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, which was President Obama's stimulus package. A subsequent report by the Congressional Budget Office also states that carbon dioxide each sequestration would increase electricity costs from coal-fired power plants by 75%, because of the cost of new equipment for CO2 capture. Organizations, such as the Congressional Research Service and the World Watch Institute "find a" great need for carbon sequestration. There is no indication as to why this would be necessary, and we can only assume that this would be the usual complaints of Marxist type environmental organizations. Jeff goes on to say that the use of natural gas and electricity production has increased, with a consequential reduction in the use of coal. However, coal gives one third of the US total CO2 emissions and 80% of the CO2 emissions from electricity production. So what? There is no evidence that atmospheric carbon dioxide increase is detrimental to the environment. Robert Hilton is a vice president of Alstom, a global construction and engineering firm supplying equipment for carbon dioxide capture. He bemoans the trend in Congress toward realization that carbon dioxide capture from coal burning plants is not necessary. Naturally so, it is his business to supply such equipment. However, it is clear that Alstom was not willing to put its money where its mouth is. It rejected an offer to put up only half of a $668 million project to sequester carbon dioxide in a West Virginia electric power plant, with the Department of Energy putting up the other half in taxpayer money. However, a negative shadow on the situation is that the EPA has proposed a new rule to limit CO2 emissions from new power plants to 1000 pounds per megawatt hour. Since the present technology for new, coal-fired power plants would have emissions of 1650 to 1750 pounds of CO2 per MWh without carbon sequestration, it appears that no new coal-fired power plants will be built, unless Congress takes further action to control the EPA's abuse of power.

    Jeff Johnson has a nice article in the July 16 issue of Chemical & Engineering News entitled, "Stumbling on the Path to Clean Coal". The subtitle is, "Carbon Capture and Sequestration appears stuck, dashing hopes of cutting CO2 while burning coal".
    The dictionary has only two definitions for "sequestration". The legal definition is the seizure of property. The chemical definition is the limitation or prevention of normal ion behavior by combination with added materials. However, a new definition has developed, which is the process of removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Note that these definitions are different from the "sequestration" denoting mandatory cuts in government expenditures on January 1.
    We should also look at recent use of the term "clean coal". Previously, clean coal had a meaning of form of relatively pure carbon. That is, it had little or no contamination from sulfur or mercury. When the term is now applied to coal, meaning no carbon dioxide emission on burning, it is obviously an unrealistic interpretation of the English language. There is no carbon dioxide in coal, and therefore coal cannot be significantly contaminated by carbon dioxide.
    In spite of these difficulties with language, the total article gives good news. While the House of Representatives cleared legislation to require carbon dioxide reductions to the atmosphere and a Cap & Trade program in 2009, a price on carbon dioxide emissions expired the next year. Jeff says that today Congress members have no intention of putting a price on carbon emissions and many even challenge the scientific basis of climate change. That is wonderful news, because there is absolutely no basis that carbon dioxide emissions to the atmosphere cause any damage to the environment, and any attempts at major control would be horrendous.
    Unfortunately, the Department of Energy does not give up easily, even when it's wrong. It has provided $6.9 billion for R&D funding on carbon sequestration since 2005, and half of that has come from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, which was President Obama's stimulus package.
    A subsequent report by the Congressional Budget Office also states that carbon dioxide each sequestration would increase electricity costs from coal-fired power plants by 75%, because of the cost of new equipment for CO2 capture.
    Organizations, such as the Congressional Research Service and the World Watch Institute "find a" great need for carbon sequestration. There is no indication as to why this would be necessary, and we can only assume that this would be the usual complaints of Marxist type environmental organizations.
    Jeff goes on to say that the use of natural gas and electricity production has increased, with a consequential reduction in the use of coal. However, coal gives one third of the US total CO2 emissions and 80% of the CO2 emissions from electricity production. So what? There is no evidence that atmospheric carbon dioxide increase is detrimental to the environment.
    Robert Hilton is a vice president of Alstom, a global construction and engineering firm supplying equipment for carbon dioxide capture. He bemoans the trend in Congress toward realization that carbon dioxide capture from coal burning plants is not necessary. Naturally so, it is his business to supply such equipment. However, it is clear that Alstom was not willing to put its money where its mouth is. It rejected an offer to put up only half of a $668 million project to sequester carbon dioxide in a West Virginia electric power plant, with the Department of Energy putting up the other half in taxpayer money.
    However, a negative shadow on the situation is that the EPA has proposed a new rule to limit CO2 emissions from new power plants to 1000 pounds per megawatt hour. Since the present technology for new, coal-fired power plants would have emissions of 1650 to 1750 pounds of CO2 per MWh without carbon sequestration, it appears that no new coal-fired power plants will be built, unless Congress takes further action to control the EPA's abuse of power.

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Rich Canadians

    We heard on the news today that the average Canadian is richer than the average American.
    This comes about for one simple reason. The Per Capita Energy Production in Canada is more than twice that of the US ($7688 versus 3143). This leads to a Gross National Product Per Capita of $$50,436 for Canadians and $48,387 for Americans. Repeat that for a few years, and you have richer Canadians.

Sunday, July 22, 2012

Full Study: Standard of Living Versus Energy


STANDARD OF LIVING IN RELATION TO ENERGY


SUMMARY
1. A study of 133 countries shows that a high standard of living is consistent with high energy usage. It makes no difference whether the energy is wasted or used efficiently. Presumably, the normal logic of avoiding waste is automatically effective.
            2. High energy producing countries, which have a surplus for export, are also among the highest in standard of living.
            3. Another factor for increasing standard of living is a high concentration of foreign bank accounts. However, the effect is limited by population, so that only small countries such as Luxembourg are appreciably affected.
            4. The study also implies that industrialization, with the export of manufactured goods, also develops a high standard of living.

INTRODUCTION
It was previously suspected that a high standard of living would require a high usage of energy, or conversely, high energy usage would give a high standard of living.
Gross Domestic Product is the value of goods and services produced within a country. Gross National Product is GDP plus net income received by residents from non-resident sources.

ENERGY CONSUMPTION
Data was collected on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and Energy Consumption per capita for 133 countries. The countries were divided into three segments; Top GDP, Middle GDP, and Low GDP. For each segment, the average was determined, as well as the spread. The data are presented in the following table:

GDP VERSUS ENERGY CONSUMPTION
GDP Countries
Average GDP per Capita (in US $) (1)
GDP Per Capita Range (in US $)
Average Energy Consumption Per Capita (in US $) (2)
Energy Consumption Per Capita Range (in US $)
Top 10
73026
113500 to 50400
4301
7600 to 2200
Middle 10
6768
8500 to 5800
948
1700 to 300
Lowest 10
687
1230 to 220
37
67 to 6
           
References & Notes:
(1) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)_per_capita
                          (2) Calculated from: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_energy_consumption_and_production;
                                 Energy Consumption $/Capita = Trillions of BTUs consumed / population / 5.8 million BTUs per barrel x
                                 $80 per barrel

It is apparent that average GDP's and Energy Consumptions for the three segments confirm the supposition.

ENERGY PRODUCTION
10 HIGH GDP COUNTRIES AND ENERGY PRODUCTION


Gross Domestic Product per Capita (GDP in US $) (1)
Total Energy Production (in Trillions of BTUs) (2)
Population in Thousands (3)
Energy Production per Capita (in US $) (4)
Luxembourg
113533
3
512
81
97255
9941
5021
27309
93700
4476
1699
36338
81161
640
7952
1110
67008
7915
8264
13211
59928
1114
5585
2751
59928
11881
22660
7232
56956
1403
9495
2038
50436
19422
34846
7688
Netherlands
50355
2657
16736
2190
            Since GDP is related to Energy Consumption, Energy Production might also be a factor. For that, individual country data for the top 10 GDP countries seems appropriate.


















References & Notes:
(1) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)_per_capita
(2) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_energy_consumption_and_production
(3) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_population
(4) Energy Production $/Capita = Trillions of BTUs produced / population / 5.8 million BTUs per barrel x $80 per barrel

In comparing Columns 2 and 5 (GDP per Capita and Energy Production per Capita, there is apparently little correlation. However, closer inspection shows that Norway, Qatar, and United Arab Emirates have significantly higher Energy Production than the other countries. It might then be appropriate to draw a comparison of these countries on the basis of Energy Surplus, which is the difference between Energy Production and Energy Usage.

ENERGY SURPLUS

10 HIGH GDP COUNTRIES AND ENERGY SURPLUS

Gross Domestic Product per Capita (GDP in US $) (1)
Population in Thousands (2)
Energy Production per Capita (in US $) (3)
Energy Consumption per Capita (in US $) (4)
Energy Surplus per Capita (in US$) (5)
93700
1699
36338
7574
28763
97255
5021
27309
5269
22040
67008
8264
13211
4700
8511
59928
22660
7232
3728
3504
50436
34846
7688
5444
2244
59928
5585
2751
2161
590
81161
7952
1110
2173
-1063
50355
16736
2190
3356
-1166
56956
9495
2038
3271
-1233
Luxembourg
113533
512
81
5334
-5253
Reference:s & Notes
(1) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)_per_capita
(2) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_population
(3) Energy Production $/Capita = Trillions of BTUs produced / population / 5.8 million BTUs per barrel x $80 per barrel
(4) Energy Consumption $/Capita = Trillions of BTUs consumed / population / 5.8 million BTUs per barrel x $80 per barrel
(5) Energy Surplus per Capita = Energy Production per Capita - Energy Consumption per Capita











            Sorting on the basis of Surplus Energy, clearly shows that Qatar, Norway, and United Arab Emirates have the highest Surplus Energy and also have high GDP. Luxembourg and Switzerland are out of line with Deficit Energy and still have high GDP. However, we can dispense with the three highest Surplus Energy countries, on the basis that they or their high GDP to energy exports.

FOREIGN DEPOSITS
Another obvious source of income for various countries is foreign bank accounts from individuals and corporations desiring to shelter their assets or defer income tax payments on profits generated from foreign operations. The advantages to countries receiving such deposits are fees and taxes.
Matador Network has a list of the 10 best countries for such foreign banking. Andorra, Barbados, Belize, and the Cayman Islands are among the 10, but are not included in our study of 133 countries. Therefore, we will dispense with those four. The remaining six countries are included for analysis.




BEST COUNTRIES FOR FOREIGN BANKING
http://matadornetwork.com/life/ten-best-countries-to-set-up-an-offshore-account/


GDP per Capita (in US $)
Population In Thousands
Notes
Luxembourg
113533
512
Internet banking
Switzerland
81161
7952
EU pressure and high minimums
Denmark
59928
5585
Difficult but possible
Malta
21028
418
Excellent international service
Mexico
10153
112337
Many Mexican nationals in US
Panama
8514
3406
Canal
No data could be found on foreign banking deposits, but some suppositions can be made. Assume that each country increases its GDP by $1 billion from foreign deposits.

FICTITIOUS GDP WITH ADDED DEPOSITS

6 BEST COUNTRIES WITH ADDED DEPOSITS
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/da.html

Gross Domestic Product per Capita (GDP in US $) (1)
Population In Thousands
Total GDP per Country (in Billions US $)
Total GDP with Added one Billion US $
Fictitious GDP per Capita with Added 1 Billion US $
Fictitious GDP (per Capita per Capita x 1000)
Foreign Account Notes
Luxembourg
113533
512
58.1
59.1
115430
225.4
Easy with Internet banking
Malta
21028
418
8.8
9.8
23445
56.1
Excellent international service
Denmark
59928
5585
334.7
335.7
60107
10.8
Difficult to establish foreign account
Switzerland
81161
7952
645.4
646.4
81288
10.2
Has EU pressure to conform and high min. deposits
Panama
8514
3406
29.0
30.0
8808
2.6
Has separate Canal revenue
Mexico
10153
112337
1140.6
1141.6
10162
0.1
Many Mexican nationals in US desiring foreign account

            For this analysis, the strong effect of country population was also considered by establishing another fictitious term; Fictitious GDP per Capita per Capita. This is the sixth column of the above table and is sorted in decreasing value.            Comparing the relative positions of Real Country GDP's with fictitious GDP's (Column 2 versus Column 6), Luxembourg clearly holds a first-place position.
Panama is out of sync, and this may be related to the fact that it has significant revenues from the Canal operation.
The Fictitious GNP of Mexico remains low, probably because of its high population.
Malta seems to be an anormally.
The Fictitious GDP's of Denmark and Switzerland did not change significantly with the addition of the $1 billion, because they have relatively high populations of this group. They also likely make it into this group of 10 Highest GDP's, because they are industrialized with significant exports.

CONCLUSIONS
            1. A standard of living in a country (GDP per Capita) is consistent with high energy consumption per capita. It follows that any energy increase per capita, leads to a higher standard of living.
            2. Since the study was on Standard of Living versus Total Energy Consumption, no consideration was given to the various forms of basic energy (coal, oil, gas, wind, solar, bio, etc.) nor to their relative costs. Energy Consumption also included wasted energy, as well as energy which was used efficiently.
            3. High Surplus Energy countries are also consistent with high GDP, presumably from export.
4. Foreign banking can also have a considerable effect on GDP, but large effects are limited to countries with small populations.
            5. Although not included in the study, industrialization with finished product exports implies a high standard of living.